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IF NOT BRAZIL, WHO? |
The Argentines have historically been loaded with talent, from Diego Maradona to their
current teenage phenomenon, Lionel Messi. They beguile with their feet, their heads and,
in the case of Maradona, their hands. And, of course, they win: two World Cups and two
second-place finishes. So why are they so loathed? Could it be because the team has more
drama queens than "Desperate Housewives" players who dive and fake
injuries when someone sweats a little too close to them? Or because they often mistake an
opponent's legs for the ball (they earned a tournament-high 45 yellow and 4 red cards in
18 qualifying matches)? But skill trumps chicanery, and Argentina has plenty of the
former. In addition to Messi, there are the predatory goal scorers Hernán Crespo and
Carlos Tevez, and the artful playmaker, Juan Román Riquelme. Those skeptics can decry
Argentina all they want they're likely to end up with huevos on their faces.
WORLD CUP FACT-O-RAMA To call Brazil the favorite is to say that Gisele Bundchen is a
bit of a looker. They are not just favored to win, they are favored to dazzle while doing
it. So overwhelming are the odds for Brazil to capture its sixth World Cup that conspiracy
theorists are out-contorting David Blaine to come up with a reason not to hand the Cup to
the Brazilians before they step onto the field. They point out that except for Brazil's
victory in Sweden in 1958, all the World Cups in Europe have been won by European teams,
and that the Brazilians will not have the benefit of South American referees who would be
likely to protect them from European defenders who figure their best chance to stop them
sambaing through the penalty area is to force-feed them a turf sandwich. What they
conveniently overlook is that all of Brazil's starters play their club ball in Europe, so
they are hardly strangers to these thuggish tactics. If Brazil has any reason to fret, it
is simply that you are only allowed to put 11 players on the field at one time, which
means that several world-class performers will have to sit; the question is, will they sit
happily? From their smiling assassin, Ronaldinho, FIFA's World Player of the Year in 2004
and 2005, to the pick-your-poison cast of attackers featuring Ronaldo, Robinho, Kak'a, and
Adriano, no team comes close to matching the Brazilians' wealth of trickery allied with
speed. Don't expect anyone to rain on their carnivale.
The Czechs are one of the few teams that refuse to genuflect to Brazil. After all, in
that other beautiful game supermodel supremacy they've long since encroached
upon Brazilian dominance, and it's somehow fitting that their soccer has gotten prettier,
too. Since the Velvet Divorce, which split the country into the Czech and the Slovak
republics 13 years ago, the once dreary, mechanical Czechs have acquired the verve and
sophistication of their stylish capital, Prague. Technically assured, the current Czech
team is also long on height, from the man-mountain 6-foot-8 striker, Jan Koller, to the
imposing 6-foot-5 goalkeeper, Petr Cech. But no one embodies the new Czech spirit more
than Pavel Nedved, he of the silky blond locks and even silkier skills. Coaxed out of
retirement from international competition, the aging (33) but charismatic Juventus
midfielder still dictates the Czechs' rhythm, and he can unleash thunderbolts with either
foot. Nedved is known as the Czech Cannon, and he's their best shot at dethroning Brazil.
Only six weeks ago, England was a halfway-decent bet to win the World Cup. Many
bookmakers had them as second favorites. Wayne Rooney, the team's 20-year-old savior, even
went all Joe Namath on the British media. "Of course, we're going to win the World
Cup," he boasted, neglecting to mention his track record: reports of $1.3 million in
gambling debts. Then he broke his rapier right foot, and four years after England prayed
for the recovery of David Beckham's glamorous metatarsal, the country finds itself once
again kneeling down to ask that a famous foot be healed. Actually, two. Rooney's strike
partner Michael Owen is still recovering from a broken metatarsal. The lame attackers have
forced lame-duck coach Sven-Goran Eriksson to roll the dice on the warp speed of the
17-year-old prodigy Theo Walcott, whom he has never seen play live. Yet with the
formidable midfield tandem of Steven Gerrard and Frank Lampard, to say nothing of
Beckham's bendalicious prowess, the English should have little trouble in the first round.
As for winning their first World Cup in 40 years, all bets are off.
The good news is that the French can hardly do worse than they did four years ago, when
they arrived as defending champions and departed three games later winless,
goal-less, joie-less. Then as now, they relied heavily on the talismanic presence of
Zinédine Zidane, a three-time FIFA World Player of the Year and the linchpin of Real
Madrid's famed galácticos. Having hobbled away from international competition in 2004,
Zidane un-retired last year after all of France begged him to return as Les Bleus
struggled to qualify for Germany. "God is back," said Thierry Henry, a celestial
talent in his own right. But the question remains: has Zidane, now 33, gone from
galáctico to geriatrico? And how many of his fellow countrymen like Claude
Makelele and Lilian Thuram, 33 and 34, respectively have also passed their sell-by
dates? It falls to the great Henry, a sprightly 28, to ignite the French attack, but
although he has been electrifying with Arsenal, his professional team, he has yet to
display the same form for France. Sacré Bleus!
The only thing that's receding faster than coach Jürgen Klinsmann's hairline is the
host country's faith in him. After five years of failing to beat a single world-class
team, Germany turned to its former national hero and asked him to re-engineer the team's
once proud soccer machine from a panzer into a BMW roadster. Instead of endurance and
impregnability, he demanded adaptability and speed, off-loading battle-tested veterans in
favor of untried youngsters like the fabulously named midfielder Bastian Schweinsteiger.
Out went captain and goalkeeper Oliver Kahn, and in stepped rival Jens Lehmann, who
recorded six consecutive shutouts for Arsenal in the Champions League (before being
ejected in the final). The calm center of the team remains intact, however, bolted down by
the ever dangerous Michael Ballack. Still, it seems unlikely that Klinsmann's kinder have
the mettle to restore the Germans to soccer prominence, but there is one thing going for
them: they get to play in their own haus.
With the Italians, you don't know whether to laugh or cry. For years, the Azzurri have
sung the blues about the injustices they've suffered at the hands of corrupt foreign
referees. How ironic, then, that a match-fixing scandal has implicated their own World Cup
referee, as well as all sorts of Italian suits. It's as if the soccer gods dropped a dead
fish into the lap of Italy's World Cup prospects, just when those prospects looked so
promising. Led by Luca Toni, who scored an astonishing 31 goals in Serie A this year, the
Azzurri have successfully shed their stultifyingly defensive style in favor of a more
wide-open attacking game full of flair and speed, tearing apart Germany, 4-1, in a recent
World Cup tuneup. That this was accomplished without the operatic soul of the team,
Francesco Totti, the Roma star known for his pretty chip shots and petty cheap shots,
augured especially well for the Italians. And just as the country's rabid fans were ready
to hail the return of their hero from a broken leg, the scandal has left them more
hysterical than a Puccini heroine. On the other hand, because Italy is in the same group
as the U.S., its woes could be buona fortuna for the Americans.
Generally believed to be the best country never to have won the World Cup, Holland has
always been one of the most colorful teams in the tournament literally. From their
wildly entertaining Total Football of the 70's to the brilliance of their stars of the
80's and 90's Marco van Basten, Ruud Gullit and Frank Rijkaard the
neon-orange-clad Dutch just can't seem to make it to the other side of the rainbow.
They've lost in two World Cup finals. But in the last decade or so, Holland has earned a
new reputation: as a self-defeating collection of arrogant divas who are riven by racial
strife and prefer looking flashy on the field to actually winning. This year, at least,
under van Basten's calm direction, the team looks once again to be a contender. He'll have
plenty of world-class players to call on, including the lethal attacking trio of Ruud van
Nistelrooy, Arjen Robben and Rafael van der Vaart, yet somehow you just can't help feeling
that the Oranje will have their hopes crushed.
In the past half-century, Spain has yet to escape the quarterfinals, and in 1982 the
team suffered the madre of all humiliations when, as host of the tournament, they crashed
out in the second round. How to explain that a country boasting two of the world's most
glamorous clubs Real Madrid and Barcelona has never produced a team worthy
of its audacious talent? Could it be the Goalkeeper Curse? In 1998, their veteran keeper
Andoni Zubizarreta sent his team packing with a spectacularly embarrassing gaffe. Four
years later, Santiago Cañizares, attempting to make a save on a bottle of dropped
cologne, tore a tendon and had to be replaced. This time around, sure-handed keeper Íker
Casillas will no doubt go fragrance-free. But if the Spaniards, led by the teenage
sensation Cesc Fábregas and their prodigious goal scorer, Raúl, need any extra incentive
to finally realize their potential, they recently got it in the form of performance
bonuses: if Spain wins the cup, each player will receive an estimated $700,000. That will
buy a lot of Eau de Redemption.
WORLD CUP FACT-O-RAMA Once a soccer punchline, the Americans come into the Cup with the
swagger of a team that not only made it all the way to the quarterfinals in 2002 but has
since fooled FIFA into giving them the No. 5 ranking in the world. The Americans can no
longer count on surprising opponents because the world is now waiting for them. And given
that they must negotiate two potential landmines in their group Italy and the Czech
Republic they will be lucky to emerge from the first round in one piece. Outclassed
technically, the Americans will once again rely on their Lance Armstrong-esque stamina,
their pugnacious athleticism and the world-class goalkeeping of Kasey Keller. The most
likely candidates for the Wheaties box are attacking midfielders Landon Donovan and
DaMarcus Beasley. Look for 6-foot-4, 210-pound central defender Oguchi Onyewu (picture
Lawrence Taylor in satin shorts) to inspire keen regret in any opponents who set foot in
the United States penalty area and for Brian McBride to give up his body on the other end.
So can the Americans reprise their miraculous run of 2002? Dream on.
David Hirshey is an executive editor at HarperCollins. He writes frequently about
soccer.
Copyright 2006 The New York Times Company Privacy. Reprinted from The New York Times
Sports Magazine of June 2006.
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